5. Where do you see the drone industry in 3, 5, or 10 years from now? | Let's talk drones | Let's Talk Transportation

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5. Where do you see the drone industry in 3, 5, or 10 years from now?

over 1 year ago

Consultation has concluded

  • martinfly over 1 year ago
    Recreational drone industry will not survive if liability insurance is required.Proposed new drone rulesNO LIABILITY INSURANCE FOR RECREACTIONAL USESRSFor recreational drone flyers the new proposed rules added some extra regulation that absolutely give no additional safety. I do not believe that requiring liability insurance on a recreational drone would in any way increase safety but would in fact make owning a drone prohibitively expensive. If you look at how much actual drone use the average recreational user uses it, it is very small. Sure it might be a big attraction when the owner gets the drone but after a couple of years use is extremely small. At $80 a year signing up for a club that provides insurance is extremely expensive or buying it is too expensive. There is no statistics showing that having insurance would decrease the number of accidents. This is purely created by a lobby group for the insurance industry. I don't see anybody gaining except the insurance industry from having mandatory insurance. When the drone gets in an accident that person still can sue the person flying the drone. In a commercial setting insurance can easily be covered because the drone makes money and usually is used a lot. But recreational drones don't get a lot of flight time and with already so many restrictions on where it can be flown I don't think it's going to be a huge problem. As it stands `this will kill the drone industry for rec users. It will not increase safety in any way, there will be still the same number of accidents with or without insurance. This proposed rules want to create a cash flow for the insurance industry not protect the rights of recreational drug users.VERY SMALL DRONE FOR REC USERS SHOULD BE 250g to 2KG (NOT 1KG LIMIT)I also believe that a very small drones should be from 250 g to 2 kg. This would essentially cover most of the recreational drones. Currently the 1 kg limit proposal would limit 80% of the drones for recreational use.
  • sled over 1 year ago
    Well Could anyone foresee this big Question, I could only think back when motorized vehicles started to be used, and the Technology of that time to discuss this matter was archaic, but look at where is come to today… Soon we won’t be driving then either,,, they’ll be driving themselves. So to ask where is the drones going to be 3 to 5 years wow we need a real special crystal ball or does this become a question thats initially asked to figure out which way the stock markets going to go.money money…SB
  • T. Todd Hennig over 1 year ago
    I see the amazing world of UAVs doing amazing things to help the environment, commerce, crime prevention, movie and television platforms, agriculture and recreation. The sad part is none of that will be in Canada. Canada will be a dead zone where getting a licensed restricted firearm will be easier than obtaining permission to fly a UAV, unless you are a Unmanned Systems Canada member who likes to snuggle up with TC personnel.
  • journey over 1 year ago
    There are so many potential uses for drones in the future. However the way thinngs are going in this country we are going to stifle a lot the potential avenues with regulation that seems to me, to be a knee jerk reaction to the unknown.
  • dbeale over 1 year ago
    Sort of depends on how the regulators let it develop. I think it will grow - there may be a bit of a novelty factor where people to get one to play with. For industry and agriculture these can be game changers. Checking the fence lines by the fire on my tablet while my drone flies a predetermined pattern over miles of fencing - that would be lovely.
  • RobP over 1 year ago
    I had a discussion last weekend with a good friend who is the CEO of a an commercial insurance brokerage about the possibility of getting insurance for Drone users. He said currently no house insurance will cover damage resulting from a drone as all policies have an exclusion for aircraft/vehicles. If we are forced to do so, a recreational drone pilot would be forced to buy a specific policy for the drone and would be in the $500 - $1000 per year range. MAAC does not cover you unless flying at a MAAC field. Within a 3 year timeframe, I would like to see TC work with the major insurance companies to develop a reasonable policy on insurability and policy premium that every can afford. Otherwise everyone will disregard any new rules for being insured.
  • mah4ever over 1 year ago
    It's going to continue innovating at a tremendous rate. Just look at the advances in the DJI Phantom consumer line of drones in the past 5 years. A few years ago there was limited redundancy and very few automatic failsafes. If you wanted to add video or first person view, this was largely DYI (do it yourself) via additional piece parts you'd purchase and integrate yourself. Flying was all manual, with no intelligent flight modes. Now, in the Phantom 4, we have complete redundancy, dedicated auxilliary vision systems that automatically prevent collisions, integrated video and first person view systems, with stabilization, intelligent flight modes that automatically follow subjects while avoiding collisions. And this is just in a few years. Given the advanced level of automation and failsafe technology that's been developed, I would expect applications to explode. Certainly drone photos/videos will become a significant industry for eco-tourism, event photography (eg. weddings) etc. I could imagine safety applications like video survellinece of railway tracks, along with automatic computer analysis of the video for fault detection. I would not be surprized if the retail delivery we hear about in the news becomes common within 5-10 years. And, I'd expect consumer usage to also increase - perhaps akin to the video cam market of the 80s and 90s. Now, of course, issues with safety and security could stifle much/all of this innovation/growth. However, I belive the industry itself has embraced these concerns and is advancing well on it's own re. safety. Drone usage has increased dramatically in recent years, but we as far as I can tell, serious incidents have not. The key risk I see with safety is irresponsible/uneducated drone usage. So, I do see education/licensing as a key advancement that is needed. I think the boating license process in Ontario works well. Another thing that could stifle this innovation and growth in Canada is over-regulation. If we want to participate in Canada, we do need regulations that ensure safety and privacy, but we also need these regulations to be simple, practical, reasonable and fair. We need them to recognize the safety advances that have already taken place in this industry in recent years, and are present in consumer drones already available in the market. I do not feel the present proposals meet this mark. In some respects they seem over-zealous. For example, it is simply unreasonable to require liability insuranced, until it is commonly available to individuals. Requiring a persons' name and address to be placed on a drone would point a drone thief to a person's home where more 'goodies' may exist, placing that person at risk. The current proposals create very large no fly zones in almost all of Toronto and other regions like Muskoka, strongly stifling consumer usage.
  • Oshawapilot over 1 year ago
    It's inevitable as technology marches on and prices drop that drones will find their way into the hands of more and more consumers - the industry WILL advance regardless of regulations. If the rules and regulations are approached from a reasonable and straightforward approach many consumers will follow them, but if the rules and regulations become so onerous that it feels hopeless for the average consumer to be able to meet them, people will simply ignore them.Few segments of the industry have any vested interest in overzealous government rules and regulations - quite to the contrary for that matter as it impedes their business, so the only hope is voluntary consumer participation in such, something that will only be accomplished if it's as pain free as possible.
  • ian over 1 year ago
    Where do I see the drone industry 3, 5 or 10 years from now? Surely still in China where it is now. Canada sure isn't paving the way for it coming here with all these silly rules based on the Transport Minister's insomnia.Hobbyist UAV operators will either have fled the country or formed criminal gangs who fly illegally in remote sites because they just can't kick the habit and haven't been able to afford the insurance. They will live in fear of being reported by passers by who are encouraged to call 911. At international drone racing events, Canada will be the laughingstock because their few pilots that made it are not allowed to make their drones go faster than 29mph. I'm an optimist though, I'm sure it will be worse.
  • brett.tripp over 1 year ago
    Although the technology regarding UAV development is progressing, and has potential to have a substantial industrial influence over the next 3, 5, or 10 years, the regulations that have been imposed on the commercial drone industry will eventually be detrimental to the business. It is of course important to have rules regarding what can and cannot be done within the commercial industry; however, if Transport Canada continues to enforce the types of restrictions that limits the ability for companies to incorporate UAVs into their business models, there will be no room for growth and innovation within the industry, specifically within the forestry and natural resource sector. Canada needs to invest in this technology, and assist in its development, instead of hindering it through arbitrary, bureaucratic regulations.
  • SmoothRunnings over 1 year ago
    First I want to say that I think having drone regulations is a good thing however only when its for commercial use. Drone require a certain level of skill, no one person can go buy a drone and fly it around minutes or hours after buying it. It will takes them months to learn and like I me a new drone hobbyist I had to go out and spend another $170 CAD to get RC Drone Simulator so I can learn to fly without damaging my own drone which I would have done the first time I was out if it wasn't for having another drone hobbyist who has had 7 years of experience. So my point again is not everyone is going to be able to fly a drone. Just look at the folks flying RC planes, do we see them flying around our heads ever day? I will says we need rules in place that protect peoples privacy in our country with some exceptions to the rule. 3 to 10 years, I think the drone hobbyists will decline further if you make the rules too harsh. Already MeetUp.com drone groups have already disbanded or lost their lost their leaders with the initial rules you set out, if you keep going down this path you will take a fun hobby and make not obtainable by responsible hobbyists.
  • wmsTO over 1 year ago
    Like everyone else has said, it depends on regulations. TC is either going to make or break the industry. Based on the proposed regulations, I am leaning to break.
  • coastaldrone over 1 year ago
    That depends on how the regulations are implemented.If it is supported, it will safely flourish.If it is heavily regulated, it will sadly flounder and be only for the very rich or big companies.
  • ypatel9 over 1 year ago
    The drone market will advance, I do picture a much more sophisticated method of communication between consumer drones, commercial drones, and other aircraft. The VLOS will be abandoned after this (hopefully) to allow for drones to be used as a method of transport for commercial use. Whatever network of aircraft is used will allow for drones to become a little to zero risk factor in causing collisions. Hopefully drones or a variant of drones will become common day items that do not cause any more fear that driving a car would.
  • captaindrone798 over 1 year ago
    The drone industry will continue to advance and Canadian regulations will continue to reflect a non-advanced civalization means to handling something that can't be controled. Canada needs to embrace the drone industry and work with it as it is part of the future. A change in government attitude would allow for this. Drones are part of the future and have more positives then negatives. Hopefully the government realizes this before it's too late and then has to play catchup.
  • Dansab100 over 1 year ago
    If the proposed rules are implemented it would effectively kill most innovation in Canada.